99 personal AI agent launches in 22 months: open launches own the long tail, scarcity made the one breakout

Asked (summary):

Find every consumer personal AI agent or assistant that launched or opened to the public between January 1, 2025 and October 25, 2026 — from Poke, Martin, Pally, OpenClaw, Instinct, Meta Muse, OpenAI Dots, Manus Cue, Gemini Spark and Grok Bot down to small Product Hunt and Hacker News launches. For each: company, date, venue, access model, launch price, the pitch, published first-week numbers, funding within a month, and how many sites covered it. Then group launches by access model and pitch angle and show which groups got the most coverage and the strongest first-week numbers.

The scan produced 99 deduplicated launch candidates dated 1 January 2025 through 25 October 2026 — every launch discoverable in the searched public web corpus, Product Hunt and Hacker News pages, company announcements and press coverage, not a closed auditable universe. Coverage counts are distinct website hosts found in this search (a lower bound); many small launches are single-sourced. 39 launches date to 2025 and 60 to 2026.

How the launches group by access model and pitch angle

Bars = launch count. Beside each bar: average distinct-site coverage, and the best published Product Hunt upvotes and Hacker News points in the group. Metrics have different units and heavy missingness, so they are shown side by side, never combined into one score. Hover or tap a bar for the products behind it.

launch countavg sites = average distinct hosts covering a launch in that groupblank metric = not published/found

By access model at launch

By primary pitch angle

What the visual cannot say alone

Manus is the scarcity outlier: a waitlist launch on X that drew 2 million signups in 48 hours, 1 million demo views in under 20 hours and 138,000 Discord members in launch week — growthhunt.ai

The biggest absolute first-week adoption came from incumbent-scale open launches: Alibaba's Qwen passed 10 million downloads in its first public-beta week, and Hark Pro reported 143,244 DAU and 107,519 mobile installs in its first 24 hours — postcutoff.com

Open-source and local assistants punched far above their press coverage on Hacker News: Clawdbot hit 405 points and 261 comments, LocalGPT 331, zclaw 284 and Moltis 131, most with a single covering site — news.ycombinator.com

Subscriber-gated launches cluster around incumbents — OpenAI Dots, Gemini Spark, ChatGPT Agent, Alexa+ — and earned multi-site coverage while publishing no first-week adoption numbers at all — openai.com

The named launches, up close

The ten launches the question named, enriched from source-level records. Prices are launch prices.

All 99 launches

Product	Launched	Venue	Access	Price at launch	Pitch	First-week numbers	PH ▲	HN pts	Sites	Source

Method: 99 deduplicated consumer personal AI agent/assistant launches, 2025-01-01 to 2026-10-25, extracted from a public web search corpus (Product Hunt leaderboards, Hacker News launch pages, company posts, press) and merged across 500+ source-level records; naming variants (OpenAI Dots/ChatGPT Dots/Dots AI, Muse variants) merged; Manus (2025) kept separate from Cue by Manus (2026). Access model and pitch angle were classified from source text; blanks shown as not published/found, never zero. "Sites" = distinct website hosts found in this search, a lower bound; single-sourced rows had no independent coverage in the indexed results. Product Hunt/Hacker News figures are snapshots from available pages, not strictly first-week unless stated. Funding shown only when announced within ~30 days of launch. Pitches and venues truncated for space.

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