Extended · August 2026 nowcast added

August nowcast says inflation is flat: 3.37% after July’s 3.36%

Question asked: is there an estimate for August so a data point can extend the line? Yes — the Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast, updated Aug 26, 2026, puts August at 3.37% year over year. It is a model estimate, not an official BLS observation.

24 monthly readings of headline CPI-U 12-month inflation, in percent; October 2025 has no published observation and appears as a gap; August 2026 is a nowcast, drawn as a dashed segment and hollow diamond.

The August 2026 nowcast, 3.37%, is effectively flat versus July’s 3.36% unrounded observation — a 0.01 percentage-point increase. discussion.fool.com
Nowcasts update over time: the Cleveland Fed’s Aug 20 vintage read 3.36% for August; the Aug 26 vintage reproduced here reads 3.37%. clevelandfed.org
Inflation rose from 2.39% in January 2026 to a 24-month high of 4.25% in May 2026 — a 1.86-point climb in four months. inflationdata.com
It then eased two months in a row, to 3.53% in June and 3.36% in July 2026. inflationdata.com
The calmest stretch was spring 2025: 2.31% in April, the lowest of the 24 months. inflationdata.com
October 2025 is a genuine gap — no CPI observation was published for that month, so the line breaks rather than interpolates. inflationdata.com
MonthInflation (12-mo %)NoteSource
2024-082.53%inflationdata.com
2024-092.44%inflationdata.com
2024-102.60%inflationdata.com
2024-112.75%inflationdata.com
2024-122.89%inflationdata.com
2025-013.00%inflationdata.com
2025-022.82%inflationdata.com
2025-032.39%inflationdata.com
2025-042.31%inflationdata.com
2025-052.35%inflationdata.com
2025-062.67%inflationdata.com
2025-072.70%inflationdata.com
2025-082.92%inflationdata.com
2025-093.01%inflationdata.com
2025-10No CPI observation publishedinflationdata.com
2025-112.74%inflationdata.com
2025-122.68%inflationdata.com
2026-012.39%inflationdata.com
2026-022.41%inflationdata.com
2026-033.26%inflationdata.com
2026-043.81%inflationdata.com
2026-054.25%inflationdata.com
2026-063.53%inflationdata.com
2026-073.36%inflationdata.com
2026-083.37% (estimate)Cleveland Fed nowcast, updated 2026-08-26; not official BLS datadiscussion.fool.com

August 2026 is the Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast updated Aug. 26; official CPI had not yet been released as of Aug. 30.

Headline CPI-U, all items, 12-month percent change; 24 monthly rows covering Aug 2024–Jul 2026, taken verbatim from the Annual Inflation Table published 12 Aug 2026 on inflationdata.com. Oct 2025 had no published observation and is left blank. The 25th row, Aug 2026, is the Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast (Aug 26 vintage) reproduced in a source excerpt — a daily model estimate of CPI inflation ahead of official release, per the Cleveland Fed methodology page — not a BLS observation. Nothing was cut.

Keenable · made with SELECT · 2,253 pages in 3m 09s · Ask your own questionShare: XLinkedInReddit